Much of this is on the G 20 and the Global Financial Crisis, including a full length book: ‘Rethinking Macro-economics 101: A Ringside View of the Global Financial Crisis from Asia in Real Time’ (Academic Foundation 2015)
http://academicfoundation.org/index.php?route=product/product&product_id=570
14.01.2019 to 14.01.2022
RBI (Reserve Bank of India) Chair Professor in Macroeconomics, Indian Council for Research in International Economic Relations (ICRIER), New Delhi
29.02.2015 to 31.5.2016
Additional Chief Secretary, Government of Kerala, Planning and Economic Affairs, Trivandrum Member Secretary, State Planning Board, Special Representative Niti Ayog and Union Finance Ministry, New Delhi
10.10.2012 to 1.12.2014
Secretary, Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, Government of India, New Delhi, India.
23.10.2008 to 10.10.2012
Joint Secretary, Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance Government of India, New Delhi, India
2.7.2007 to 22.10.2008
Secretary, Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, Government of India, New Delhi, India.
25.7.2006 to 30.6.2007
Principal Secretary to Government of Kerala, Planning and Economic Affairs Department, and Member-Secretary, State Planning Board, Trivandrum, Kerala, India.
30.8.2005 to 24.7.2006
Secretary to Government of Kerala, Finance (Resources) Department, Trivandrum, Kerala, India
1.8.2005 to 30.8.2005
Secretary to Government of Kerala Labour and Fisheries Departments, Trivandrum, Kerala, India
22.1.2004 to 31.7.2005
Secretary to Government of Kerala Water Resources Department, Trivandrum, Kerala, India
1.9.2000 to 3.12.2003
Counsellor (Economic), Embassy of India, Washington D.C, U.S.A
22.10.97 to 22.8.2000
Director, Government of India, Department of Mines, New Delhi
20.11.95 to 20.10.97
Secretary to Government of Kerala, Finance (Expenditure) Department, Trivandrum, Kerala, India
25.9.94 to 30.9.95
M.Sc in Macro-Economic Policy & Planning in Developing Countries.University of Bradford, U.K)
16.12.91 to 9.9.94
Deputy Secretary (ECB) to Government of India, Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, New Delhi, India
24.8.90 to 16.12.91
Under Secretary to Government of India, Cabinet Secretariat, New Delhi, India
4.6.90 to 23.8.90
Joint Secretary to Government of Kerala, General Administration Department, Trivandrum, Kerala, India
14.3.89 to 4.6.90
District Collector and District Magistrate, Pathanamthitta District, Kerala, India
1.9.86 to 13.3.89
6.3.85 to 31.8.86
10.9.84 to 6.3.85
71b Macroscan
96A. Bloomberg
100.Centre for Strategic and International Studies
100a China: National Bureau of Statistics
100b China: US China Business Council
100c China: People’s Bank of China
101 Council on Foreign Relations
103.Food and Agriculture Organisation
104.Fitch Ratings
106.Hoover Institute
106A International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA)
108.LIBOR data
111.Markit
114.Metal Prices
117.Morgan Stanley
118.NASDAQ
119.NBER
122.Pew Research Centre for the People and the Press
123.Polling Report
124.Rand Corporation
125.Rogers International Commodity Index
125a Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA)
127.Stratfor
127A. TED spreads
130.US Treasury Department Homepage
131.US Department of Transportation Homepage
132.US Federal Communication Commission Homepage
133.US Department of Energy Homepage
134.US Commerce Department Homepage
135.US Department of Agriculture
138.USAID
139.US Securities Exchange Commission
144.Yahoo Finance
This is my PhD dissertation, parts of which has been published in the form of papers (IESHR, see below). I hope to re-work this into a book, which would attempt to describe and analyse the transformation of rural society during the six decades of Pax Britannica following the 1857 Revolt. Since this part of Bihar is currently in great social ferment, characterised by extreme forms of violence, I expect this also to be a work of contemporary history that throws some light on the makings of rural society in this region.
A Contemporary History of India
The History and Future of Globalization
Major Economic Policy Issues for India in the New Millenium
61. "The Global Financial System", Foreign Services Institute, New Delhi, Induction Training Programme for the Indian Foreign Service (IFS) Officer Trainees of 2018 Batch, May 8, 2019.
62. "The Indian Economy", Dr Marri Channa Reddy HRD Institute, Hyderabad, Telengana, 94th Foundation Course for AIS and CCS Officers, September 17, 2019
63. "Financial Markets, Monetary Policy and the Impossible Trinity", Dr Marri Channa Reddy HRD Institute, Hyderabad, Telengana, 94th Foundation Course for AIS and CCS Officers, September 17, 2019
64. "The Indian Economy: Prognosis and Path Forward", ICFAI Business School, Gurgaon, Haryana, India. November 13, 2019.
65. "Monetary Policy and the Economy", Panel Discussion on the Indian Economy, Webinar hosted by Motilal Oswal Securities Ltd, June 24, 2020
66. "Multilateralism, The Global Economy and the G 20", Webinar on Multilateralism in a Transforming World: Challenges and Opportunities for India, Indian Council of World Affairs, December 10, 2020
67. "The G20,"Induction Training Programme for IFS Officer Trainees 2020 Batch, Sushma Swaraj Institute of Foreign Service, New Delhi, March 9, 2021
68. 3rd ICRIER – KAS Covid-19 WEBINAR ‘People, Planet, Prosperity: Rebuilding Differently’, September 13, 2021 Youtube (1:11:00 till the end)
69. 10th ICRIER-PRI Workshop, Policy Responses to COVID19 in India and Japan and Prospects for Economic Cooperation Going Ahead, March 22, 2022. Youtube link 1:14 to 1:21
Miscellaneous
I was schooled in Sherwood College, Nainital, a fully residential public school, set up over 150 years ago in the picturesque Kumaon region of the Garhwal Himalayas in the erstwhile State of Uttar Pradesh (now Uttarakhand) in India. I graduated with History Honours from St.Stephens, Delhi University, arguably India’s best liberal arts college. I went on to take a Masters, M.Phil and Ph.D in History from the Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, and joined the Indian Administrative Service [successor to the Indian Civil Service (ICS)] in 1982. I superannuated from the IAS on May 31, 2016.I am permanently settled in Gurugram (formerly Gurgaon) in the national capital region.
I was allotted to the Kerala Cadre of the I.A.S. Over the years I was entrusted with a number of important assignments, both under the Government of Kerala, as well as the Government of India. My experience in public administration spans a third of a century, both at the cutting edge of implementing government policies and exercising quasi-judicial sovereign authority, as well as in senior management and policy making, particularly in the area of economic policy. Apart from extended stints in the finance departments in both Kerala and the Government of India, I interfaced with multilateral financial institutions such as the World Bank, International Monetary Fund and UNDP, and also anchored India’s engagement with the G 20 following its emergence as the premier multilateral forum for international economic cooperation in the wake of the recent global financial crisis, being also the nodal officer in the Indian Prime Minister’s delegation to G 20 Summits. I also have diplomatic experience and have right from the beginning of my career interfaced with democratic representative institutions at all levels. My last posting was as Additional Chief Secretary, Planning and Economic Affairs, to the Government of Kerala, member Secretary State Planning Board, and Special Representative in New Delhi, to the Niti Ayog and Union Finance Ministry.
In 1995 I was admitted to the degree of M.Sc in Macro-economic policy (with distinction) by the University of Bradford, U.K. I have attended several workshops and seminars, given lectures and made presentations, in India and abroad, and also published several articles in international research journals and books, and opinion pieces in leading financial dailies, on a variety of themes, including the international economy and finance, monetary policy, general and economic administration, comparative economic, social and political theory, and modern Indian and contemporary history.
My skills, experience and aptitude lie in the following areas:
I began my career as a civil servant at the cutting edge of district administration. During this six year period I supervised the maintenance of Land records, relocation of people in the submersible area of a newly constructed Irrigation Dam, exercised magisterial and quasi-judicial powers under a wide range of Codes/Acts, and actively promoted small industries, self-employment schemes and industrial and Women's Cooperatives. I was also the administrative head of a district in Kerala, India, for over a year. In this capacity I supervised developmental works in the district, including community works, poverty alleviation, child and family welfare and planning, total literacy programmes, calamity relief and the maintenance of law and order. I exercised judicial powers as a sub-divisional, and later District Magistrate, for maintaining, and preventing breach of, public order. Appeals against orders passed in the Court of the Sub-divisional and District Magistrate lay only with the State High Court.
After a six year stint in field administration, I was deputed to the Government of India as Under Secretary in the Cabinet Secretary’s office, where I was actively involved in infrastructure monitoring and coordination. The Cabinet Secretary’s office also monitors and reviews the works of various departments, and also handles, in some form or the other, all important national issues and crises. During this period I got a bird’s eye view of the working of the Indian government as a whole. Moving on to the Department of Economic Affairs in the Union Ministry of Finance as Deputy Secretary, my work initially related to policy formulation and financing of India's Oil related imports. I handled the oil economy budget, and examined all public sector investments in the petroleum sector from the financial angle. About one-third of the entire imports of the country originate in the petroleum sector.
My subsequent assignment as Deputy Secretary, External Commercial Borrowings, also in the Department of Economic Affairs, involved formulating and implementing policies and guidelines for Indian entities borrowing from international markets, including issues relating to Sovereign guarantees. I was also responsible for setting and monitoring the national ceilings on such borrowings and guarantees, maintaining a computerised data base, and also tracking developments in international markets relating to hedging foreign currency exposures and emerging market debt instruments. I interacted on a regular basis with Corporate Heads, Multilateral and Bilateral agencies, international bankers, including investment bankers, from all parts of the globe, and with International Credit Rating Agencies (Viz. Moodys’, S&P and JBRI). My work involved evaluating and approving specific foreign currency credit proposals, while simultaneously taking a wider, policy related view. I was actively involved in managing problems encountered with overseas lenders in restructuring public sector enterprises. With infrastructural bottlenecks emerging as the major constraint on growth and development in emerging economies in general, and in India in particular, my assignment inexorably involved handling issues relating to mobilising the huge investments necessary for such projects from commercial sources within a speedy time-frame, especially in the critical power sector. I was also actively involved in the wider strategic exercise of India's re-entry in external commercial bond markets, which were closed to India since the Balance of Payments crisis of 1991. Incidentally, India re-entered these bond markets during my tenure as Deputy Secretary, ECB in the Ministry of Finance. I represented India abroad several times to negotiate external borrowings, including complex financial structures such as leveraged leases for the acquisition of aircrafts, and to sign sovereign guarantee documents (Ottawa, Frankfurt, Zurich and London), to persuade lenders to agree to the restructuring of public sector enterprises ( London and Tokyo), to explore the prospects of an overseas bond issue (New York), and to represent India in Seminars in the area of economic policy (Kathmandu and Tokyo). I have also presented a number of papers on economic policy changes and the management of India’s External Debt.
In 1994-95 I went to the University of Bradford for a full-time course (M.Sc) in Macro Economic Policy and Planning In Developing Countries. The degree included course work and examinations in International Trade, Macro-economic Policy, National Development Planning, Environment Policy, Development Finance, and three statistical courses on Regression Analysis, Social Accounting Matrices and computer-based economic modelling. I also wrote a dissertation on the determinants, structure and management of India’s external debt, which is among the highest in the developing world. I was awarded the M.Sc degree ‘with distinction’.
Following this, I worked for two years as Special Secretary, and subsequently, Secretary, Finance (Expenditure) to the Government of Kerala, a nodal post for controlling and managing the expenditures of the State Government, including evolving and issuing policy directives to all State government departments in this regard. It was my responsibility to control the quality and quantity of government expenditure, and to improve its efficacy. Thus I whetted all major public sector investment proposals. All cases relating to employment creation in government and public sector undertakings needed the concurrence of the Department of Expenditure. My post was a critical and nodal one under the State government, as files and expenditure proposals from all departments in government, including all major financial proposals emanating from autonomous institutions supported by government (such as schools, colleges, Financial Institutions, Public Sector Undertakings, etc.) were cleared by the Expenditure Department. In view of the tight financial position of the State, several financial powers earlier delegated by the Finance Department to various Administrative Departments had been withdrawn through economy orders issued from time to time, and the Department of Expenditure was responsible for issuing and implementing these economy orders. I was actively involved in policy making in areas such as controlling revenue deficits, resource mobilisation (especially small savings), debt management, including, inter alia, containing contingent liabilities in the form of State guarantees, financing the Public Sector, including Public Sector reform, determining and limiting the government’s exposure to the huge financial investments required for rapid development of the infrastructure -- especially Power -- sector, and the social sector.
My next assignment as Director in the Ministry of Mines involved policy formulation in the Mines and Minerals sector, more specifically in the Aluminium sector, where India is globally competitive. The National Aluminium Company, a public sector undertaking under the administrative control of the Ministry of Mines, is one of the cheapest and most efficient producers of alumina and aluminium in the world. My work also involved working through the divestment of government equity in aluminium public sector undertakings, policy issues relating to trade policy in the sector, entry norms, capital restructuring, etc. I also exercised quasi judicial powers as an appellate authority against Orders issued by State Government granting mining leases. In June-July 1999, I attended a Three Week Workshop on Privatization, Infrastructure Reform and Corporate Governance in the Harvard Institute of International Development, Cambridge, Mass., USA. I was part of the inner team that worked on the privatisation of the state-owned Bharat Aluminium Company (BALCO), effectively the first successful privatisation story out of India. My assignment also involved attracting overseas investment into the mining sector and working in close co-operation with other countries. There is keen interest internationally in the Indian minerals sector since India shares a geological past with other great mining countries such as South Africa and Australia, as they were all once part of the super-continent called Gondwanaland during the paleozoic period. I represented the Government of India abroad in Moscow to interact with Russia on common mining projects; in Hanoi, as incharge of the Mining pavilion in the ‘Pride of India’ Show, and to negotiate a joint venture with the Vietnamese government; in Myanmar to explore the prospects of Indian investment in its nickel deposits; and in Kimberley, South Africa, to participate in a Technical Forum on 'Conflict Diamonds'.
In August 2000 I was sent on a diplomatic assignment to represent India as its Counsellor (Economic) in the Embassy of India, Washington D.C, U.S.A. The primary objective of my assignment was to promote closer economic co-operation, especially in the private sector, between India and the United States of America. I interacted on a day to day basis with various departments in the US administration, independent regulatory agencies, Think-Tanks, the Indian community settled in the United States, American Universities and other Organisations, making presentations on Indian economic policies on a wide range of issues. I worked closely with the departments of Treasury and Energy in particular, and a host of financial organizations such as OPIC, IFC, US-EXIM, AIA, IIF, FRB, SEC, New York Stock Exchange, NASDAQ, and Rating Agencies. I liaised with various top level Indian delegations visiting the United States on economic missions and their US counterparts, and was included in Indian delegations for bilateral and multilateral parleys at the highest level, such as the Indo-US Economic and Financial Forum, Annual Meetings of the IMF and the World Bank, and various roads shows.
In January 2004 I returned to the Government of Kerala as Secretary Water Resources Department. Water has been variously described as the fuel of the future -- as we move towards a Hydrogen economy -- as THE major source of natural disaster, and as the resource which might be the major source of social conflict in the twenty first century. Although Kerala is well endowed with water resources, receiving over 3000 mm of rainfall annually, its management is nevertheless a major challenge on account of the rapid run-off to the sea because of the undulating terrain and proximity to the sea. Heightened human activity has compounded the challenge due to changes in land use and over-exploitation and contamination of both surface and groundwater. Human action has also possibly exacerbated the skewered rainfall pattern and salinity along the coast through sea water intrusion. Ensuring and monitoring water quality, in particular the integration of water and sanitation policies, constitutes another major challenge. Financial management is critical in the sector, as there are limits to fiscal support. While several issues in water management track those in the power sector, there are major differences, especially in the role private investment can play, the willingness of users to pay -- especially for drainage and sanitation -- and the fact that, unlike power that can be generated, and substituted, fresh water is a scarce natural resource with no imaginable substitute.
In August 2005 I was briefly posted as Secretary Labour and Fisheries. I handled issues relating to formulation and implementation of labour laws and labour welfare, including dispute resolution and Labour Welfare Funds. Kerala is unique amongst Indian States in having welfare schemes that cover the unorganised sector. Kerala has a long coastline with a relatively large number of fishermen. It has the biggest fisheries sector in the country, accounting for the major chunk of marine exports out of India. The State fishery sector however has to surmount major challenges posed by overfishing off the continental shelf, falling catches and a sea-food processing industry in crises occasioned by very poor capacity utilization. I also managed welfare schemes for fishermen – including the fall-out from the December 2004 Tsunami – and formulated and implemented fishing policy.
I was posted as Secretary Resources in the State Finance Department in September 2005, is what was my second stint in the department. Whereas my earlier responsibilities as Secretary Expenditure involved scrutiny of public expenditure proposals, my second assignment was to formulate and implement the budget of the State of Kerala, raise and manage resources and long term liabilities, and liquidity management of the State's finances on a day to day basis.
In August 2006 I was posted as Principal Secretary Planning and Economic Affairs, and Member-Secretary State Planning Board, where I worked till my current deputation to Government of India in July 2007. The Principal Secretary Planning and Economic Affairs Department is responsible for the formulation, implementation and monitoring of the State Annual and Five Year Plans, various developmental schemes including those targeted at disadvantaged groups, and Centre-State economic and financial relations. He also co-ordinates and oversees the working of the State Planning and Land Use Boards, and generation of state level statistical data, including state income. I joined the Planning Board in the terminal year of the State’s Tenth Plan, and was consequently instrumental in piloting the State’s Eleventh Plan which was put in place well before the commencement of the financial year 2007-08, the first year of the Eleventh Plan.
Moving back to the Government of India in July 2007, I served two stints as Secretary of the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory Council, from July 2007 to October 2008, and again from October 2012 to December 2014. The Council advised the Prime Minister on critical economic issues apart from making regular forward looking forecasts for the economy.
I moved as Joint Secretary to Government of India in the Department of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Finance, in October 2008. My responsibilities involved interfacing with multilateral financial institutions such as the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, UNDP and etcetera, on behalf of the Indian government. Since April 2009 I have been anchoring Government of India’s interface with the G 20 following its emergence as the premier multilateral forum for international economic cooperation in the wake of the global financial crisis. I represent India in all G 20 meetings, assisting India’s finance deputy in the finance ministers’ channel, and the Prime Minister’s Sherpa in the Sherpas’ channel. I was, inter alia, the nodal officer in the Prime Minister’s delegation to the first seven G 20 Summits in Washington, London, Pittsburgh, Toronto, Seoul, Cannes and Los Cabos.
In February 2015 I moved back to the Government of Kerala as Additional Chief Secretary, the apex scale in the Indian civil service.
India is the world’s largest functioning democracy, with a unique record of practically uninterrupted free and fair elections for the last fifty years, i.e. ever since it attained Independence. These elections are organized through what is perhaps the biggest election machinery in the world, under the aegis of the Election Commission of India . During my earlier years in the civil service, I have acted as Returning Officer in these elections. I am now periodically drafted by the Election Commission to act as an independent “Observer” on its behalf to oversee the entire election process in particular constituencies to ensure its fairness.
I have an abiding interest in the history of Modern India, and have published several articles and full-length book reviews in various academic journals, and have presented papers in a number of workshops and seminars both in India as well as abroad. In 1992 I was awarded the degree of Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D) by the Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi, for my thesis The Evolution of Agrarian Society in South Bihar: Shahabad and Gaya Districts 1860-1920. South Bihar is presently in a state of great social ferment. While not explicitly seeking to trace the origins of the present socio-economic crisis in the region, the Work nevertheless touches upon some it's historical antecedents. It is a regional historical study covering demographic trends, agricultural practices, technology and production, prices, trade and the rural social structure in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. The Work traces the deep impact wrought by British Rule in the Indian countryside, and also makes some comparisons with nineteenth century China and medieval Europe. Parts of my thesis have been published in academic journals. Contemporary history, which seeks to explain the present in terms of the past, is of special interest to me as this is where my training as a historian intersects with my profession as a civil servant. I have a flair for creative writing and am a regular contributor to the OpEd pages of financial dailies. I am currently working on full length books (non-fiction) that I hope to publish shortly.
My mother tongue is Hindi, but English is virtually my first language, being very fluent in both written and spoken English. I also have a working knowledge of Malayalam and Urdu. I am compu-literate, and comfortable with using the Personal computer, including the keyboard, mouse, CD ROM and Printer on my own, and use a laptop, PDA and pendrive on a regular basis for carrying important files and data and contact information on my person at all times. I work through Microsoft Windows on MS Word (for wordprocessing), MS Excel (For data manipulation and model building), MS Powerpoint (for presentations) and SPSS for statistical and regression exercises, as I am very comfortable with use and analysis of data. I access the internet on a daily basis, maintain and update my homepage myself on the Internet.
Bird Watching
Astronomy and Star-watching
Western Classical Music
Poetry
History
Writing
Long Distance Running
Cricket
Philately